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HFR Cryptocurrency Index surges +12.7 percent, strongest gain since Nov 2024;

ED: Special Situations, Activist, EH: Technology lead sub-strategy gains

CHICAGO, (June 6, 2025) – Event Driven, Equity Hedge and Cryptocurrency strategies led performance gains among hedge funds in May, as reported today by HFR®, the established global leader in the indexation, analysis and research of the global hedge fund industry. The HFRI posted strong gains for the month as the global equity market recovery from late April extended through May, driven by progress on trade negotiations and an improving economic outlook for 2H25.

As implied volatility declined from the historic April surge, the HFRI Event-Driven (Total) Index led strategy performance, jumping +3.8 percent, the strongest monthly gain since December 2023. Similarly, the HFRI Equity Hedge (Total) Index advanced +3.7 percent for the month, also the strongest monthly gain since Dec 2023.  The broad-based HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index^® (FWC) gained +2.0 percent for the month.

The HFR Cryptocurrency Index accelerated its sharp recovery from 1Q 2025 declines, vaulting +12.7 percent in May, while the new sub-strategy HFR Cryptocurrency-Fundamental Index surged +24.7 percent for the month. As recently announced, HFR introduced 11 innovative, sophisticated and specialized sub-strategies focused on the Cryptocurrency and Blockchain space.

The HFRI Multi-Manager/Pod Shop Index added +1.0 percent in May, with powerful contributions from equity, event-driven, cryptocurrency and fixed income exposures.

Hedge fund performance dispersion contracted in May, as the top decile of the HFRI FWC constituents advanced by an average of +10.6 percent, while the bottom decile fell by an average of -4.6 percent, representing a top/bottom dispersion of 15.2 percent for the month. By comparison, the top/bottom performance dispersion in April was 17.0 percent. In the trailing 12 months ending May 2025, the top decile of FWC constituents gained +31.1 percent, while the bottom decile declined -25.3 percent, representing a top/bottom dispersion of 56.4 percent. Approximately seventy percent (70%) of hedge funds produced positive performance in May.

The HFRI Long Volatility Index, first published by HFR in April and which includes long volatility and tail risk strategies, fell -2.5 percent in May as volatility declined; this after gaining +4.7 percent in April. The Index is the industry’s leading benchmark for pure long volatility and tail risk strategies, which has quickly become a core area of focus for institutional investors. Last month, HFR hosted an investor event in Boston for the index launch; a recap and highlight videos of the event presentations and panel discussion is available here.

Event-Driven (ED) strategies, which often focus on out-of-favor, deep value equity exposures and speculation on M&A situations, led strategy performance in May with the HFRI Event-Driven (Total) Index surging an estimated +3.8 percent for the month, the strongest monthly gain since December 2023. ED sub-strategy performance was led by the HFRI ED: Special Situations Index, which surged +6.0 percent, and the HFRI ED: Activist Index, which jumped +4.35 percent for the month.

Equity Hedge (EH) funds, which invest long and short across specialized sub-strategies, also posted a strong gain in May, led by gains in Technology, Fundamental and Quantitative strategies. The HFRI Equity Hedge (Total) Index advanced an estimated +3.7 percent for the month, the strongest gain since December 2023, led by the HFRI EH: Technology Index, which surged +6.0 percent, and the HFRI EH: Fundamental Growth, which jumped +4.7 percent. The HFRI EH: Fundamental Value Index advanced an estimated +4.2 percent, and the HFRI EH: Quantitative Directional Index gained +3.9 percent in May.

Fixed income-based, interest rate-sensitive strategies also gained for the month despite a sharp increase in interest rates associated with pending tax and spending legislation, with the HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index advancing an estimated +0.9 percent in May. RV performance was driven by the HFRI RV: FI Corporate Index, which gained +1.3 percent for the month, and the HFRI RV: Multi-Strategy Index, which added +1.2 percent.

Uncorrelated Macro strategies declined for the second consecutive month, as the HFRI Macro (Total) Index fell -1.0 percent, though strategy performance was mixed across commodity and quantitative, trend-following strategies, as well as fundamental, discretionary exposures. The HFRI Macro: Systematic Diversified Index declined -1.8 percent, while the HFRI Macro: Currency Index and HFRI Macro: Discretionary Thematic Index each advanced +0.2 percent in May.

Liquid Alternative UCITS strategies also advanced for the month, as the HFRX Market Directional Index surged +3.06 percent, and the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index gained +1.17 percent in May. HFRX strategy performance was led by the HFRX Equity Hedge Index, which gained +2.63 percent for the month.

HFR is pleased to announce the completion of the annual index IOSCO assurance certification in compliance with Regulation BMR.  For more details, visit https://www.hfr.com/compliance.

“Hedge funds posted strong gains in May, led by Directional and cryptocurrency strategies, as volatility subsided from the April spike and technology equities led global gains on progress in tariff negotiations and improved global economic outlook for 2H25. Opportunistic positioning quickly transitioned from defensive portfolio protection to targeted and concentrated exposures positioned for equity market improvement and recovery,” stated Kenneth J. Heinz, President of HFR. “While overall geopolitical and inflation risks have fallen from 2024 levels, these risks have also evolved and shifted to include legislative uncertainty, tension over US government spending/borrowing, and uncertainty regarding continued efforts to resolve ongoing and potential military conflicts. Despite recent gains, funds remained tactically positioned for fluid, rapid changes to the financial market cycle. As such, institutional investors interested in the opportunistic exposure to these rapidly evolving risks and opportunities are likely to increase allocations to funds which have demonstrated their strategy’s robustness through recent volatility, accelerating industry growth in 2H25.”

 

NOTE: May 2025 index performance figures are estimated as of June 6, 2025